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 1.     



                    ,        .       . -,       , ,   ? -,      ? -,        ? -,      ?          ,         ,       .

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1.1.      


             ,         [2 - Morgenthau . Politics Among Nations: the Struggle for Power and Peace. New York: Knopf, 1954. P.410.],    (     - ),      ,                   [3 - Mearsheimer J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York; London: Norton; Company, 2014. P.3031.].          (ordering principles)   ,       .      (sameness)      ,  ,      ,   .               ( ) ,  ,     [4 - Waltz . Theory of International Politics. Long Grove: Waveland Press, 2010. P. 93.]. ,     ,        ,                   .    .   .   ,   ,             .     ,     ,      ,   [5 - Kegley C, Raymond G. A Multipolar Peace? Great Power Politics in the Twenty-first Century. New York: St. Martin Press, 1994. P. 20.],         ,  ,    ,          .

 ,  ,    ,       :              ,               ,                  .

                . , .  ,         ,    ,       [6 - Gilpin R. War and Change in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1981.P.2526.].     ,       (      )    ,       .             ,    ,      [7 - Ibid. P.3435.].   .    ,  ,              ,      ,   ,       [8 -  .  XXI :   ,     //       / . . . . , . . . .: , 2010. .45.].  ,     (  )         ,   ,  ,      [9 - Modelski G. Agraria and Industria: Two Models of the Territorial State // World Politics. 1961. N1. P. 123.].   ,        (,  ,    )[10 - Brecher M., Wilkenfeld J. Crises in World Politics // World Politics. 1982. N 3. P. 395.],       ,        .       . ,           ,             ,         ,           [11 -  .      //  . 2003. 1. . 10.].

            ,                ,     ,        .             ,         ,             ,            [12 - Kissinger . A World Restored. New York: Grosset and Dunlap, 1964. P.16.].  , /        (      ) ,        ,   /  .

          (hegemonic stability theory),   (. , . , .   .)               .                               ,    ,         .     - ,          (   ,  ,     ..) ,  ,  -     .  ,          . ,        ,          ,   ,     .     ,        ;    ,       [13 - Keohane R. After Hegemony. Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2005. P. 31.].

            ,        (    ,    XVIIIXIX., "Pax Americana"    XX   XXI.)       . ,      ,     ,       ( ,  )     ,   -,      ,     .          ,              [14 - Gilpin R. Op. cit. P. 145.].  ,                       .                              ,      ,       -.

       ,         ,     (powertransition theory),          (  ,    ) .        ,      ,                 [15 - Kugler J., Organski A. The End of Hegemony? // International Interactions. 1989. 2. P. 116.].       ,   ,    ,    -.  ,          ,          .        ,    ,   -,              [16 - Organski A., Kugler J. The War Ledger. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. 1980. P.5354.].  ,   (major wars),        ,           ,         .

           ,        . ,        ,         ,      -[17 - Chan S. China, the U.S., and the Power-Transition Theory. A Critique. London; New York: Rutledge, 2007. P. 63.],    .  ,    ,       ,                   -     . ,                       ,      -         .

   ,     ,         ,   ,    [18 -         ., .: Little R. The English School and World History // International Society and Its Critics / ed. by A. Bellamy. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005. P.4563.] X. ,               (   ,  ,        ..)[19 - Bull H. The Anarchical Society. A Study of Order in World Politics. New York: Columbia University Press, 1995. P.1618.].    ,         ,        ,     ,            (elementary goals),     ,        .        ,    ,  ,    [20 - Ibid. . 51.].    ,   ,   ,     ,          ,      ,             ,                  ,   [21 - Ibid. .5253.].

   ,   . ,            ,   .         ,         (         ,    ),      (        ).     ,    ,         ,  ,   (  )     ,  ,       ,      ,        [22 - Watson A. The Evolution of International Society. A Comparative Historical Analysis. London; New York: Rutledge. 1992. P.1416.].

  ,   ,           ,        ,         .  ,                ,        -,   ,        .

       .   . ,         ,     . ,   ,            ,              ,        ,       [23 - Brooks S., Wohlforth W. Reshaping the World Order // Foreign Affairs. 2009. N 2. P. 51.],    ,          ,     .

         (  ,     ,     )[24 -         ., .:    :  /  . . ., . . , . . , . . . .: -, 2013. .33110.]   ,     .   (, , )     ,     (  )     ,         .




1.2.     


    ,               ,  ,          .  ,    ,      (  ),   ,         (, )     (   ,        ..).   ,      ,      ,     ,     ,    ,     ,      [25 - Slaughter .-. A New World Order. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2004. P. 15.].            ,      ,   ,         (        ),    ,           [26 -  .,  .,  .,  .  : ,   . .: , 2004. . 59.].  ,              (world government),    ,      .               (             ),          [27 -  .  . .:  , 2004. .317318.].  ,           ( ,   ).                 ,       .

          ,              - ,      .               (,   ,  )  () ,      ,     [28 -  .   .  . .: , 2002. .78.].     ,   ,               酻,         ,      ,   养[29 -  . . 34, 39.].

        ,         ( , -,    ..)        XX   XXI. , .      ,   , "  ", ,        -  ,  [30 - Rosenau J. Citizenship in a Changing Global Order // Governance without Government: Order and Change in World Politics / ed. by J. N. Rosenau and E.-O. Czempiel. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1993. P. 282.].  ,                      [31 -  .,  .,  .  . .: -, 2006. . 60.]    .

          ,           ,  ,      [32 - The Globalization of World Politics: An Introduction to International Relations / eds J. Baylis and S. Smith. 3rd ed. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005. P. 774.]




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notes








1


 .     . .: , 2005. . 354.




2


Morgenthau . Politics Among Nations: the Struggle for Power and Peace. New York: Knopf, 1954. P.410.




3


Mearsheimer J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York; London: Norton; Company, 2014. P.3031.




4


Waltz . Theory of International Politics. Long Grove: Waveland Press, 2010. P. 93.




5


Kegley C, Raymond G. A Multipolar Peace? Great Power Politics in the Twenty-first Century. New York: St. Martin Press, 1994. P. 20.




6


Gilpin R. War and Change in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1981.P.2526.




7


Ibid. P.3435.




8


 .  XXI :   ,     //       / . . . . , . . . .: , 2010. .45.




9


Modelski G. Agraria and Industria: Two Models of the Territorial State // World Politics. 1961. N1. P. 123.




10


Brecher M., Wilkenfeld J. Crises in World Politics // World Politics. 1982. N 3. P. 395.




11


 .      //  . 2003. 1. . 10.




12


Kissinger . A World Restored. New York: Grosset and Dunlap, 1964. P.16.




13


Keohane R. After Hegemony. Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2005. P. 31.




14


Gilpin R. Op. cit. P. 145.




15


Kugler J., Organski A. The End of Hegemony? // International Interactions. 1989. 2. P. 116.




16


Organski A., Kugler J. The War Ledger. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. 1980. P.5354.




17


Chan S. China, the U.S., and the Power-Transition Theory. A Critique. London; New York: Rutledge, 2007. P. 63.




18


        ., .: Little R. The English School and World History // International Society and Its Critics / ed. by A. Bellamy. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005. P.4563.




19


Bull H. The Anarchical Society. A Study of Order in World Politics. New York: Columbia University Press, 1995. P.1618.




20


Ibid. . 51.




21


Ibid. .5253.




22


Watson A. The Evolution of International Society. A Comparative Historical Analysis. London; New York: Rutledge. 1992. P.1416.




23


Brooks S., Wohlforth W. Reshaping the World Order // Foreign Affairs. 2009. N 2. P. 51.




24


        ., .:    :  /  . . ., . . , . . , . . . .: -, 2013. .33110.




25


Slaughter .-. A New World Order. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2004. P. 15.




26


 .,  .,  .,  .  : ,   . .: , 2004. . 59.




27


 .  . .:  , 2004. .317318.




28


 .   .  . .: , 2002. .78.




29


 . . 34, 39.




30


Rosenau J. Citizenship in a Changing Global Order // Governance without Government: Order and Change in World Politics / ed. by J. N. Rosenau and E.-O. Czempiel. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1993. P. 282.




31


 .,  .,  .  . .: -, 2006. . 60.




32


The Globalization of World Politics: An Introduction to International Relations / eds J. Baylis and S. Smith. 3rd ed. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005. P. 774.


