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  ,     ,     .

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      .

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                    .



This edition is published by arrangement with Aitken Alexander Associates Ltd. andTheVanLear Agency LLC



David Sumpter, 2020

   , , . Π,  , 2022


* * *




 


.1. (#r1) ,      ?= 1,16 ?= 1,25

.2. (#litres_trial_promo)   

.3. (#litres_trial_promo)  

.4. (#litres_trial_promo)         

.5. (#litres_trial_promo)     

.6. (#litres_trial_promo)        

.7. (#litres_trial_promo)        

.8. (#litres_trial_promo)     

.9. (#litres_trial_promo)    

.10. (#litres_trial_promo)      




: 


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          [5 -       Medium: medium.com/@Soccermatics/if-you-had-followed-the-betting-advice-in-soccermatics-you-would-now-be-very-rich-1f643a4f5a23 (http://medium.com/%40Soccermatics/if-you-had-followed-the-betting-advice-in-soccermatics-you-would-now-be-very-rich-1f643a4f5a23).         .     ,  ,    .     (.: , 2018).].     .    -  2015/16      ,          -.   .

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 = 56860593,80.].

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* * *

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* * *

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   .

   ,     (https://www.litres.ru/pages/biblio_book/?art=67265936)  .

      Visa, MasterCard, Maestro,    ,   ,     ,  PayPal, WebMoney, ., QIWI ,       .



notes








1


   ,    .        .  㠖    Facebook,     .    ,   12  .   ,    :    .    ,    ,         TED (Technology, entertainment, design , , ).    . .,    .




2


         (: , 2018).




3


          ,    (.: , 2011).




4


,             (From Impossible To Inevitable).




5


      Medium: medium.com/@Soccermatics/if-you-had-followed-the-betting-advice-in-soccermatics-you-would-now-be-very-rich-1f643a4f5a23 (http://medium.com/%40Soccermatics/if-you-had-followed-the-betting-advice-in-soccermatics-you-would-now-be-very-rich-1f643a4f5a23).         .     ,  ,    .     (.: , 2018).




6


        .         (   ),     .         ;      ,     ,       .         .  ( )     , 堖  ,    .




7


      1,0003 (  0,03%  ).     100   ,        1000 ? 1,0003


 = 56860593,80.




8


      .  ( )      ,   ,   .     3/2 ,    2,        3.  () ,    ,  ,        .     2,5,    2   2? 2,5= 5,     3.          100   (     ).   +150 ,    100    150  .   2    3.  ,   ,  ,      .




9


  ,    ,     ,  1. ,      3/2,      2/3  3/2 ? 2/3 = 1.         . ,       7/5     4/7 ,   7/5 ? 4/7 < 1.       1/(1 + 7/5) + 1/(1 + 4/7) 1 ? 0,05  5%.




10


      :








  4      1.




11


         .        1/5,  ,      5 ,   - ,  1 (11/5)


 = 67%.




12


Benter W. Computer based horse race handicapping and wagering systems: areport // D. B. Hausch, V. S. Y. Lo, W. T. Ziemba, eds. Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets. Revised edn. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd, 2008. Pp. 183198.




13


       ( ,    )     .           .




14


    ,               .    ,  ,  .          ,       .




15


      ,     .




16


Chellel K. The gambler who cracked the horse-racing code // Bloomberg Businessweek, 3 May 2018 // bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-05-03/the-gambler-who-cracked-the-horse-racing-code (http://bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-05-03/the-gambler-who-cracked-the-horse-racing-code).




17


              ,          .           (          ⠖      ).




18


      ,  ,         .




19


Bolton R. N., Chapman R. G. Searching for positive returns at the track: amultinomial logit model for handicapping horse races // Management Science. 1986. August. Vol. 32. No. 8. Pp. 10401060.




20


      .




21


Cox D. R. The regression analysis of binary sequences // Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological). 1958. Vol. 20. No. 2. Pp. 215232.




22


     .


