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  PDF A4   .





 

   



Edward N. Luttwak

THE RISE OF CHINA VS THE LOGIC OF STRATEGY



 The President and Fellows of Harvard College, 2012

     AST Publishers, 2023







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 3

  


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notes








1


     2011   708,3     1,3%    2010  ,    159,3      .




2


    ,  -  ,       ,   ,         ,        -  . ,           ,    ,     .  ,        ,          (Shao Xiao),    (OF-3   ).




3


. Minnie Chan. PLA Delegates Go into Battle against Improper Spending // South China Morning Post, 10 2011. :  ,      10000  126700   20062010 ,       2,8      1,5      (http://www.ftchinese.com/story/001039153/en). ,   ,   ,   .       17 2011 ,  17000  ,     ,         (2008),     8   (123,6   ). Π   ,        :  2006  -  ,      ,  15  ,  - .




4


     ; .          :         (Martin Jacques, When China Rules the World: The End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order. London: Penguin, 2010).    ,      ,      ,     .




5


    ,          . . .




6


. Edward N. Luttwak. Strategy: The Logic of War and Peace, rev. ed. (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2002). .:  . .    . .: , 2021.




7


,   2011          ,       ,        .




8


 ,           .             . . .




9


. Malcolm Moore. Chinas Next Leader in Hardline Rant: Xi Jinping, the Man Earmarked to Become Chinas Next President, Has Roundly Attacked His Countrys Critics while Giving a Speech in Mexico // The Telegraph, 31 2012.; http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/4637039/Chinas-next-leader-in-hardline-rant.html.




10


. The Banyan blog, The Law in China: A Spear Not a Shield // The Economist, 4 2011.; http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2011/o4/law_china.




11


. Wall Street Journal, Asia, 26 2010.




12


    (  /     )  .          . . .




13


.       .




14


. Dai Bingguo. Adhere to the Path of Peaceful Development (   Janchi zou heping fazhan zhi lu) // Waijiaobu ivangzhan, 6 2010., Xinhua News Agency.




15


. Zheng Bijian,   : Ordine, riforme e ap-ertura airOccidente: II teorico di Hu Jintao ci spiega la nuova ideologia della Cina // II Sole, 24 Ore, 31 2011.




16


          (,      ).




17


       - (. ),       ,        ,              (      ).




18


.. Taylor Fravel. Strong Borders, Secure Nation: Cooperation and Conflict in Chinas Territorial Disputes (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2008),  1.3, . 4647.




19


    , , ,  ,    1961,  ,   1975.




20


       ,   ,     . . .




21


   ,          ,          .  2011 ,    -        -     .




22


 , ,    ,    :    .,     . . .




23


, 30 2011  ,      25 / (  70%  12 ),         19,26 / (  85%).   ,        (: South China Morning Post).          :           (. Southern Mongolian Information Center, Herders take to the streets, four arrested, http://smhric.org/news_378.htm).




24


      ,      9.        (Zhoonggu Rnm?n W?zhuang Jingch B?du?)   .       ,   ,      .




25


     , ,        . . .




26


   ,     I (482565)       : 12     (),     ,     . . .




27


.  : Zhang Feng. Rethinking the Tribute System: Broadening the Conceptual Horizon of Historical East Asian Politics // Chinese Journal of International Politics 2 (2009): 545574.




28


,   ,    ⠫    (Hou han shu),   . . http://depts.washington.edu/silkroad/texts/hhshu/hou_han_shu.html. .:        . .: , 1984.




29


 ,  () . . Nicola di Cosmo. Ancient China and Its Enemies: The Rise of Nomadic Power in East Asian History (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002), 206 ff.  ,    ,           .




30


  . . .




31


 , . 193194.




32


. Shiji, The Records of the Grand Historian (orGrand Scribe), Sima Qian, vol. 99; cols. 2144 and 2179. .:  .  .  9. M.:  , 19722010.


